It is highly unlikely that prolonged ZAR recovery will happen smoothly, after strong rallies like we have seen, an increase in foreign inflows the past few weeks, and the unlikelihood that the yen will weaken further, the possibility of the rand reversing its gains is ever present. The USD-ZAR is expected to trade between 8.8650 and 8.9900.
Manufacturing production fell to its lowest level in almost a year with
a 2.9% year on year drop in February. The decrease in production has renewed
concerns over recovery in the economy’s second-biggest sector and the complete
economic growth this year.
Fears of market deterioration in the US labor market have subsided
as job growth in March was surprising. US state unemployment benefits dropped
to a seasonally adjusted 346 000, 42 000 less than the US labor department were
expecting.
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