Trade report 29/10/2013
ZAR outlook
USD/ZAR expected range: 9.7900 – 9.9300
The Rand weakened slightly against the dollar overnight as investors are thought to be waiting for results on local data and the outcome of the FOMC meeting tomorrow. The ZAR was 0.34% down this morning, from its close in New York yesterday, at R9.8561/$ at 09:27 GMT.
Local news
Local data released today showed that South Africa’s credit growth slowed to 7.55% y/y in September while money supply increased to 7.03%. A key figure that investors will be interested in and due for release today is the unemployment rate number. News which is a threat to investor sentiment is that SAMCU have announced its members have voted to strike at Impala Platinum, although employers are hopeful that a stoppage can be averted.
International news
There are a number of US data releases scheduled for today, although cautious trading is expected to continue until after tomorrows FOMC meeting where investors will be looking for clues as to when QE tapering could begin.
TODAYS KEY DATA POINTS (GMT):
• 06:00 SA M3 money supply y/y
• 06:00 SA Private sector credit y/y
• 09:30 SA Bond auction (R2023-900mn; R2031-550mn; R2037-900mn)
• 09:30 SA Unemployment rate
• 17:00 SA SARB releases Gov. Marcus’ overnight remarks
• 12:30 US PPI y/y
• 12:30 US Advance Retail sales
• 13: 00 US S&P/Case-Shiller house price composite-20 y/y
• 14:00 US Business inventories
• 14:00 US Consumer confidence
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